Felix Auger Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Felix Auger Aliassime has the edge with a higher second serve win rate at 48.57% compared to Jannik Sinner's 41.50%. Will this impact the match outcome? It often does, with correlations pointing to Auger Aliassime as more favorable.
• Return Game Stats: Sinner wins 39.97% of his opponent’s second serve points, lagging behind Aliassime at 45.43%. Yet, Sinner slightly bests him in returning first serves, leading with 21.45% over Aliassime's 20.31%.
• Under Pressure Performance: When it comes to saving breakpoints, Aliassime also leads, with a save rate of 59.40% compared to Sinner's 53.08%.
• Overall Performance: In the past year, Sinner has dominated with a 90.63% match win rate, clearly surpassing Aliassime's 67.65%.
• Surface Advantage: Both players excel on indoor hard courts, each boasting an 81% career win percentage. However, Sinner struggles more on clay, and Aliassime on outdoor hard courts, though neither surface is the match setting.
• Player Participation Level: Sinner has triumphed in 92.86% of Grand Slam matches this year, while Aliassime has excelled in 74.36% of Main tour matches, highlighting Sinner’s higher competitive exposure.
• Head-to-Head Record: They share a balanced head-to-head rivalry, each winning twice, yet Sinner has taken more sets (6-5). Their last encounter at the U.S. Open saw Sinner victorious.
• Opponent Strength: Sinner has competed against tougher ranked players, averaging a rank of 38.61 versus Aliassime's 60.31, indicating a possibly stronger readiness.
• Deciding Set Performance: Should the match stretch to a decisive set, Auger Aliassime boasts a slight advantage, winning 70% of deciding sets compared to Sinner's 67% over the last year.

Editorial Prediction (November 2, 2025, UTC):

Jannik Sinner stands out with a superior overall match-winning percentage and direct experience against highly ranked opponents. These factors suggest resilience and skill in top-tier matches.

However, Felix Auger Aliassime's favorable second serve and breakpoint saving stats may complicate Sinner's path, especially if the match enters a decisive set where Aliassime holds a slight edge.

Despite these challenges, Sinner's recent victory in their last encounter and his broader success in Grand Slams render him the likely favorite to succeed in this matchup.

Thus, the prediction leans towards Jannik Sinner emerging victorious in this upcoming contest.